We have, throughout the season, published our picks for the weekend football games to be played. We are 45-10 on the year but are coming off a terrible performance (5-4), at least by our standards. One thing which may have hurt us a week ago is that 3 of our 12 picks didn’t play.
Here are twelve games we believe are being played this weekend, the 2nd to last weekend of the regular season. We are going to get right back on the horse and pick a winner and by how much for these twelve games. Hopefully most of these will get to be played because there are some fantastic match-ups.
Game one: Breathitt (2A) at Pike County Central(3A)
Breathitt County has played as infrequently as any team in the commonwealth. Matter of fact, we can’t think of a single team in all of the commonwealth who has played fewer games than the Bobcats. When we last saw them play they looked terribly disjointed offensively and the defense didn’t look much better. They were able to beat Greenup that night, in spite of 175-penalty yards. They can ill afford to replicate a performance like that in the Hawks’ nest. We like Breathitt here but wouldn’t be too surprised if they were upset.
KPGFootball prediction: Breathitt by 10
Game two: Covington Catholic (5A) at Simon Kenton (6A)
We can remember a time, not too long ago, this game would have been a “pick ’em.” Not anymore…
KPGFootball prediction: Covington Catholic by 35
Game three: Bowling Green (5A) at Trinity (6A)
No team in Kentucky boasts a much better roster of talent than what Coach Mark Spader puts out on the field each Friday night. The Purples have already beaten St. Xavier and narrowly lost to South Warren as their only blemish on the season’s record. Well, Trinity is just one of those teams Bowling Green will NOT outclass.
KPGFootball prediction: Trinity by 21
Game four: Christian County (5A) at Hopkinsville (4A)
This is one of those “throw the season records out the window” type games. These are two teams who palatably hate each other’s guts. We don’t mean this is a good natured but highly contested type rivalry. We mean fans throwing hands after the game in the parking lot type rivalry. We will be honest, if the Hoptown that beat Henderson County shows up, the Tigers could rout the Colonels. If the Tigers who lost to Calloway County (5-turnovers) gets off the bus, it is a pick ’em. We think the Tigers will play this game!
KPGFootball prediction: Hopkinsville by 21
Game five: Crittenden County (1A) at Henderson County (6A)
We have preached all year that classification and enrollment size in Kentucky as far as high school football is meaningless. Crittenden County has some real ball players and they can play with anybody. Still, tackling a 6A team like Henderson County, who is ranked more week’s in that class’s top-ten more so than not, is a tall order for any 1A team. Put it this way, Henderson County would blow Campbell County off the field and the Camels beat Pikeville earlier in the year.
KPGFootball prediction: Henderson County by 10
Game six: Beechwood (2A) at Newport Central Catholic (1A)
This team pits the best team (our opinion) in 2A (maybe in a tie with LCA) against a top-ranked team in the 1A classification. The boys from Fort Mitchell would be our pick to win the whole thing if we were made to choose a team right now, today. They will run the clock here, even on the road.
KPGFootball prediction: Beechwood by 35
Game seven: West Carter (2A) at Russell (3A)
West Carter is legit. We just love the QB, Orry Perry, and his star running back, Leetavious Cline. We are really high on the DE they have who (we’re told) is headed to Centre College (Dylan Roe). All of that aside, if you don’t know what kind of football is played by the Russell “Red Devils” (5-1, only loss to Ashland Blazer, beat MoCo and Simon Kenton), you may not know enough about high school football in Kentucky to get much out of belonging to this site.
KPGFootball prediction: Russell by 10 (because they are at home)
Game eight: Middlesboro (2A) at Martin County (2A) (Inez)
The “Yellow Jackets” are hopping a buss to Inez, Kentucky to take on Martin County. Middlesboro is one of the best teams in 2A and were the top vote getters in the “others receiving votes” section of this week’s Associated Press weekly top-10 poll. Martin County is overmatched here.
KPGFootball prediction: Middlesboro by 30
Game nine: Pikeville (1A) at Lexington Christian (2A)
Pikeville has the talent to play with anyone at any level of competition. They showed that by besting the defending 3A state champions (Belfry) earlier in the year and beating Henry Clay (6A) in Lexington on September 25th. However, we saw a chink in the armor when they dropped a game to Campbell County (14-8). Sure Mike Woolf’s Camels are in the 6A classification, but it isn’t as if they are a good 6A team (2-4). LCA (2A) on the other hand is really good and have played out of classification a ton too. The Eagles have beaten Lexington Catholic (4A) and Paul Lawrence Dunbar (6A). However, they went to the well once too often with the Frederick Douglass (5A) game in Lexington on October 9th and got perfectly drilled (40-6). The team rebounded nicely to win games at Somerset and in “Title Town” against Danville. Drew Nieves is back under center for LCA and the Eagles barely escaped Danville without Xavier Brown and him in the lineup. We think the Eagles have too many weapons for Pikeville, as good as Pikeville is. We think LCA rolls here.
KPGFootball prediction: LCA by 21
Game ten: Russellville (1A) at Fulton County (1A)
Russellville is historically the Kings of the 1A Classification on the western end of Kentucky. They haven’t been as good in recent years as they were once accustomed to being. Fulton County always seems to find a good number of “freaking studs” to dot the roster. Broc Bridges is certainly one of those. Russellville did beat Franklin-Simpson this year and Fulton County is 1-4 with its only win coming against hapless Ballard Memorial, who everyone has blown out this year.
KPGFootball prediction: Russellville by 10
Game eleven: Glasgow (3A) at Franklin-Simpson (4A)
Here’s a rarity. This year is played annually and Franklin-Simpson has been accustomed to besting the Scotties yearly. Well, Franklin-Simpson is hurting this year with losses to Russellville (1A), Allen County-Scottsville by 21-points, and Russell County. They are coming off consecutive wins over Warren Central and Warren East. We still like the Scotties in this one.
KPGFootball prediction: Glasgow by 7
Game twelve: North Bullitt (5A) at Elizabethtown (3A)
North Bullitt is a Class 5A football team which is 5-1, losing only to DuPont Manual, one of 6A’s top ranked teams. Elizabethtown is the top ranked team in the 3A classification and undefeated. E-Town has already beaten two 6A’s in Meade County and Central Hardin and absolutely smoked a good Bardstown team a week ago in arriving at its present 6-0 mark. We like Elizabethtown in this one, especially at home.
KPGFootball prediction: E-Town by 6
This is Coach HB Lyon, reporting for KPGFootball, and we’re JUST CALLING IT LIKE WE SEE IT!
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